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How California and Florida took different approaches and ended up with the same result

NEWSDOS by NEWSDOS
February 15, 2021
14 min read
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How California and Florida took different approaches and ended up with the same result


Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States, no two states have been more different in their approaches than California and Florida.

In early March, the California government Gavin Newsom restricted gatherings, closed bars and restaurants in restaurants, implemented mask mandates, and begged residents to stay home.

By comparison, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis took little action to repeal an ordinance that banned people from doing business and dining, as well as lifting fines and penalties related to COVID-19 in September.

Lighter restrictions mean schools have not been closed nationwide and mask mandates have never been imposed.

In November, he even criticized states like California for having stricter restrictions, saying he trusted its residents to “use common sense”.

In an interview with Fox News Business on Sunday, DeSantis argued that Florida “focused on lifting people” during the pandemic but “lockdown states” were “putting people out of business”.

“There are quite a number of things we’ve done for COVID, but at the same time we’ve raised our state, we’ve saved our economy, and I think we’ll be the first to get out of the gate as soon as we can COVID behind bring the country, ”he told Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo.

Despite these different approaches, both states achieved roughly the same result. A DailyMail.com analysis shows that the states have decreased cases, deaths and hospitalizations by about a third over the past two months.

So were locks necessary and did they work? The answer is complicated, but researchers say they were beneficial in the first few months as we don’t know how COVID-19 spreads or how to treat it.

Studies have shown that staying at home jobs and restrictions saved numerous lives, but that they may now be less useful as a larger segment of the population gains natural immunity through infection or immunity through vaccination – but that social distancing and Masks continue to be necessary to continue lowering case and death rates.

FLORIDA: Similar to California, Florida has an overall rate of about 8,306 cases in which 100,000 people operate

As the pandemic progressed, California (left) had a rate of approximately 8,499 COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population, while Florida had approximately 8,306 (right) per 100,000 population. Currently, both are rapidly declining, with fewer than 10,000 cases being reported daily. The dashed line represents the national seven-day average and the solid line represents the seven-day average for California and Florida

CALIFORNIA: California has recorded between 10 and 20 deaths per million people for the past two months, with a historic overall rate of 117 deaths per 100,000

FLORIDA: Similarly, Florida has recorded between 10 and 20 deaths per million people in the past two months, with a historic overall rate of 130 deaths per 100,000

Both California (left) and Florida (right) have recorded between 10 and 20 deaths per million people in the past two months. Historically, Florida has had about 130 cases per 100,000 people, compared to 117 deaths per 100,000 in California. The dashed line represents the national seven-day average and the solid line represents the seven-day average for California and Florida

CALIFORNIA: The hospital stay curves in California and Florida show remarkable similarity. The peak values ​​lie between the beginning and the middle of January and have been falling since then

FLORIDA: The hospital stay curves in California and Florida have a remarkable similarity. The peak values ​​lie between the beginning and the middle of January and have been falling since then

The hospital remedies for California (left) and Florida (right) bear a remarkable resemblance to one another, with peaks seen between early and mid-January and declining since then. The dashed line represents the national seven-day average and the solid line represents the seven-day average for California and Florida

If you look at the raw numbers, California seems to be doing worse than Florida.

The Golden State has a total of 3,399,878 cases and 46,843 deaths – both numbers are the highest in the nation.

For comparison: Florida reports a total of 1,827,373 infections and 28,779 deaths.

However, the population size must be taken into account. California has about 40 million people and Florida has about 22 million.

When adjusted for this metric, the states have very similar case rates.

FLORIDA GOV said the state was focused on lifting people during the pandemic.

In an interview with Fox News Business on Sunday, Frorida Gov Ron DeSantis argued that Florida “focused on lifting people” during the pandemic but “lockdown states” were “putting people out of business”.

“There’s a whole bunch of things we’ve done for COVID, but at the same time we’ve built our state, we’ve saved our economy, and I think we’ll be the first to be out of the gate once we’re in Able to bring COVID behind the country, ”DeSantis told Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo.

He said because he “kept the state open”, new businesses – such as restaurants and hotels – could be opened.

“People see Florida as the place to go to follow their dreams,” DeSantis said.

“It’s a free state.”

According to the COVID Tracking Project, California and Florida report an average of 200 to 400 cases per million people, and have both seen declines in the past few days.

Both states followed a similar curve, with a spike in cases around Jan. 1 – as the winter surge resulted in rapidly increasing rates of cases and deaths – and infections subsided a few weeks later.

Dr. Stuart Ray, a professor of medicine at Johns Hopkins University, told DailyMail.com in a previous interview that Americans are currently seeing the effects of their good behavior, which is why curves and rates look so similar across states.

“What we are seeing in this epidemic is that it is cycling,” he said.

“If people aren’t careful, the virus will infect a lot of people, but we’ve seen several spikes dampen when people get serious.”

Death tells a similar story. Historically, Florida has had about 130 cases per 100,000 people, compared to 117 deaths per 100,000 in California.

In the past 90 days, both states have recorded between 10 and 20 deaths per million people, data from the COVID Tracking Project shows.

Again, their curves look similar, with deaths rising in mid-January, a few weeks behind the rise in cases due to death as a lagging indicator.

Ray said at the start of the pandemic there were relatively asynchronous peaks on the east and west coasts.

It wasn’t about whether states peak or not, just when, he said.

“We didn’t have a coherent message at the federal level, so this was a complete control approach,” said Ray.

“What we see with this is when people get different stimulus messaging rates of infection population stories taking hold … then people become more cautious.

“It is the motivator that convinces you not to go to this meeting or wear your mask. News contributed to a message that people thought, “You know what? [Coronavirus] is a big deal. “‘

The California government Gavin Newsom issued very strict instructions during the coronavirus pandemic (orange lines) such as: B. Indoor bars and restaurants that are closed and gradually loosen up as the falls decrease (blue lines). As soon as the rates rise, it issues locks again

The California government Gavin Newsom issued very strict instructions during the coronavirus pandemic (orange lines) such as: B. Indoor bars and restaurants that are closed and gradually relax as falls decrease (blue lines). As soon as the rates rise, it issues locks again

California restricted the way most businesses operate during the crisis. Pictured: The Manhattan Beach Pier can be seen in the distance on January 29th in Hermosa Beach, California

California restricted the way most businesses operate during the crisis. Pictured: The Manhattan Beach Pier can be seen in the distance on January 29th in Hermosa Beach, California

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has issued very few closures (orange lines) and has been very critical of states like California with strict restrictions. Both states follow similar curves. Even with rising rates, he has decided to reopen (blue lines). much of his condition

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has issued very few closures (orange lines) and has been very critical of states like California with strict restrictions. Both states follow similar curves. Even with rising rates, he has decided to reopen (blue lines). much of his condition

In an interview with Fox News Business on Sunday, DeSantis argued that Florida

In an interview with Fox News Business on Sunday, DeSantis argued that Florida “focused on lifting people” during the pandemic but “lockdown states” were “putting people out of business”. Pictured: Fans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers celebrate the team’s Super Bowl win in early February

How do states compare on COVID-19 hospitalizations?

The COVID Tracking Project, which recorded hospital stays in all states, does not include all hospital stays ever reported in California, while that data was only made public in Florida in July.

At its peak on Jan. 7, California reported a total of 22,851 people hospitalized for the virus in one day, while Florida reported 7,762 people on Jan. 14.

When adjusted for 100,000, states have a similar rate of hospitalization.

About a month ago California had a rate of about 56 hospitalizations per 100,000 while Florida had about 35 per 100,000. Now is California’s rate According to a DailyMail.com analysis, 24 is hospital admissions per 100,000, while Florida’s is about 22 per 100,000.

However, the Tampa Bay Times notes that Florida’s rate was historically higher until recently.

For example, Florida reported about 44 hospitalizations per 100,000 in late July, while California had about 22 per 100,000 before peaking again in late December and early January.

What is remarkable when it comes to hospital stays is age.

More than a fifth, or 21 percent, of Florida’s population is aged 65 or over, with at least 4.6 million of the state’s 22 million identified as seniors.

By comparison, only 15 percent of California’s population are older, six million out of 40 million aged 65 and over.

This means more Florida residents are at risk of a virus affecting the elderly.

In recent months, despite their different approaches, with peaks in April for California and May for Florida, the two states have followed fairly similar trajectories, with another peak in the summer and early January before declining.

SCIENTISTS DISCOVER 7 HOMEGROWN VARIANTS IN THE US FOR FEAR OF BECOMING INFECTED

By Natalie Rahhal, US health editor

Scientists have discovered seven more indigenous products Coronavirus Variants that have surfaced in the US worry about identical mutations in the “spike” protein that could make them more infectious.

It is not yet clear whether these variants are actually more contagious or how common they are in the United States as a whole. This emerges from a pre-print that was published on MedRxiv before the assessment on Sunday.

However, since the variants all have a number of mutations to the critical spike protein, chances are these changes in their genetics give the virus an evolutionary advantage that could make it more difficult to stop.

Variants with a mutation known as Q677 have appeared in numerous states in the south and southwest, with the highest concentrations in New Mexico and Louisiana

“We have many reasons why this region might be important, but we don’t have any evidence yet,” said study co-author Dr. Vaughn Cooper, told DailyMail.com.

“As an evolutionary biologist, this kind of coincidence – parallel evolution and independent origins of different lineages with the same mutation – is very strong evidence that it is adaptive and that a virus that adapts to humans is usually not a good sign,” said Dr . Cooper. Director of the Center for Evolutionary Biology and Medicine, University of Pittsburgh.

However, the scientists say the variants are unlikely to bypass or weaken the effectiveness of vaccines, since their common mutation resides in a location that has little to do with the ability of antibodies to bind to the virus and get it to neutralize.

“Vaccines will work well against these viruses,” said Dr. Jeffrey Kamil, study co-author and immunologist at Louisiana State University, told DailyMail.com.

Variants with a mutation known as Q677 have appeared in numerous states in the south and southwest, with the highest concentrations in New Mexico and Louisiana

The mutation observed in the seven variants is known under position Q677, which describes a part of the virus genome which encodes the structure of the “spike” protein on its surface.

The Q677 mutation was first discovered in the United States on October 23, through genome sequencing of virus samples.

It stayed out of sight for months and did not show up significantly in other samples.

But something strange happened in two states, about the same time and nearly 1,000 miles away.

Between December 1, 2020 and January 19, 2021, the number of virus samples with the mutation suddenly increased sharply.

As of mid-January, Q677 represented nearly 28 percent of the virus samples sequenced in Louisiana and more than 11 percent of those sequenced in New Mexico.

By February 3, the mutation had been discovered in 2,327 of the 102,462 US samples submitted to the GISAID database.

In other words, within a few months, a one-off variant increased to about two percent of the cases that scientists scanned looking for variants.

Although most of these were found in New Mexico and Louisiana, the mutation has occurred independently in a total of at least seven locations.



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